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(Post 451 of 15224) 05/13/2003.00:18:52 |
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Hi people
Indonesia by all account had gone through a tough period with relatively calm and order. The expected backlash from the Iraqi war was quite muted. The reaction from the ground with regard to the trial of the leader of JI for treason and the trial of the Bali bomber was surprising low key. Couple with the recent oil price hike, Indonesia has managed to build her reserves. The result is the appreciation of the Rupiah. All these have the effect of lowering the impact of her foreign debts. In fact there are now talks about not fully relying on IMF. The icying as of now is the upgrade of her credit rating by S & P. This will further reduce her debt cost. This could be the stimulus for a new positive cycle for our immediate neighbours. It might be a good time to look into some Indonesia-linked counters. Any suggestions? Cheers atss |
| (Post 452 of 15224) 05/13/2003.03:09:06 |
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DJ and Nas headed north. DJ crossed over to 8700 points and Nas above 1500. STI should test the 1360 mark. |
| (Post 453 of 15224) 05/13/2003.14:56:28 |
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Pennies buubble deFLATed..... 
UOB Sesdaq Index  |
| (Post 454 of 15224) 05/13/2003.15:00:36 |
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there are many FA lousy stocks to choose from...just pick one.... |
| (Post 455 of 15224) 05/13/2003.15:06:20 |
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another day with over 1B traded, i wouldn't, by any stretch of my wildest imagination, call it penny bubble deflation by a long long mile, i would just say it is taking a breather. |
| (Post 456 of 15224) 05/13/2003.15:08:58 |
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Pennies buubble deFLATed.....
subject to comment and approval by Boon Boon.  |
| (Post 457 of 15224) 05/13/2003.15:24:58 |
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I'm dreaming that I'm in lost Horizon with Pennyfun after having a quickie Strike with Lucy & Mandy.....(too free today?).
Mccool san, I don't want to be a boon or bane to anyone. (without prejudice hor, tokingkok only)  |
| (Post 458 of 15224) 05/13/2003.15:52:44 |
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This is still very much my call. Enjoy the journey all.
By Ykayboon On Monday, 05 May 2003 09:27pm [ Jade User ] Posting #11 (Viewing #12 of 69 Total) [ Bookmark ] [ Reply ] * I declare the month of May the start of a liquidity driven rally not unlike the one in 1999. * It should last at least one quarter and at most two quarter. * I also warn you that at the peak of this rally, the house traders would have sold everything including adding SHORT positions, then the brokerage house will restrict retail orders to only SELL orders and market will collaspe thereafter. * Having said that, i can offer you a save and profitable trading strategy. Stock Price : 0.640 |
| (Post 459 of 15224) 05/13/2003.16:05:27 |
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Market very sluggish today... |
| (Post 460 of 15224) 05/13/2003.18:03:33 |
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Sars outbreak poses little risk to regional business: report
The Sars outbreak will pose little risk to Asian regional business activity in the long run but investors may be more cautious about putting their funds into China, a property group's report said today. Singapore and Hong Kong, the two economies most affected by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (Sars) apart from China, will recover by the fourth quarter. |
| (Post 461 of 15224) 05/13/2003.20:13:00 |
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| (Post 462 of 15224) 05/13/2003.20:16:04 |
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| (Post 463 of 15224) 05/13/2003.20:27:06 |
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UOB SESDAQ MA |
| (Post 464 of 15224) 05/14/2003.09:24:05 |
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A spate of results announcements today, and coming days.
Today: OCBC, SGX, Datacraft, Parkwy, Del Monte Tomorrow: Want Want Friday: Seksun, F&N Next Wed: A big one, SIA; and Eastern Asia |
| (Post 465 of 15224) 05/14/2003.11:20:54 |
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WSJ(5/14) US Investors Pour Into Foreign Funds
Source : Dow Jones 14/05/2003 11:00 (From The Wall Street Journal) By Jeff D. Opdyke AMERICANS MAY BE reluctant to travel abroad these days, but they are sending their money overseas at a torrid pace. It's looking like a smart move right now. In the past two months, the Dow Jones World Index, excluding the U.S., has surged 16%, compared with an 11% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. If the dollar continues to weaken against international currencies as it has done recently, international stocks could perform even better. So far this year, U.S. investors have poured about $4.25 billion into international stock funds, representing 61% of the net dollars (total money invested minus money withdrawn) flowing into all stock funds. In 2002, the number was even more staggering: International funds captured $10.3 billion of the net $10.9 billion invested in stock funds for the year. All this represents a turnaround from recent years, when Americans invested mostly at home to take advantage of the relentless bull market. Even today, only 3.5% of all the money in 401(k)-like retirement accounts are invested overseas, according to research by Fidelity Investments. There are a number of reasons why foreign shores suddenly look more appealing. For one, valuations on foreign stocks are simply better. Many foreign companies are "meaningfully cheaper than similar U.S. companies," says Chris Olson, manager of Liberty Wanger Asset Management's Acorn Foreign Forty fund. Yet, despite their foreign roots, much of the growth of companies such as pen and razor maker Bic, of France, or Korea's Samsung Electronics, or British medical-device maker Smith & Nephew comes from the stable, growing U.S. market. The other big driver is the weak dollar. It has fallen to a four-year low against the euro, and is down against a host of major currencies. If an American investor buys a stock denominated in a foreign currency, and that foreign currency becomes worth more dollars, the stock is now worth more dollars. To be sure, if the dollar strengthens, the opposite will be true. Your foreign investment will be worth less in dollars. That's why the best reason for investing overseas isn't currency movements but diversification. Numerous studies have found that owning some foreign stocks, say between 10% and 20% of your assets, reduces the risk of the portfolio without lowering returns. The reason: While foreign markets react to U.S. market fluctuations, they don't move in lock-step. So, while U.S. stocks tumbled in the past three years, New Zealand, Australia, Singapore and others chalked up nice gains. In fact, even during the historic 1990s bull market, one or two overseas markets typically outpaced U.S. stocks each year. That's not to say there aren't extra risks to investing overseas, particularly in emerging markets. Those markets can be hammered by a local currency collapse and foreign companies often don't report finances as rigorously as American firms. In addition, there's a greater chance that political unrest will hurt a company's performance. Certainly, the U.S. has had its own problems, including the Enron and Wall Street scandals. The easiest way to invest overseas is through U.S. mutual funds with an international focus. The tough question, of course, is which funds. Some focus on a single country or a large region. Others invest broadly across markets except the U.S., while so-called world or global funds buy stocks everywhere, including the U.S. A host of international, country- or region-specific index funds also exist. Complicating matters, some funds hedge their foreign-currency risk so that currency movements don't impact returns, while others don't hedge, giving investors exposure to currency movements. Some of the best all-around international funds include no-load funds such as the Fidelity Diversified International fund and the Julius Baer International Equity A fund. The First Eagle Overseas A fund imposes a 5% front-end load, or fee, for buying shares. Yet First Eagle has consistently outperformed, averaging strong annual returns over the past five years. If you are thinking of a regional fund, most pros feel that Asia, outside of Japan, has the best prospects. The basic argument is that Asia suffered its own financial shock during the currency crises of the late 1990s and now is recovering. Still, stock valuations are significantly cheaper than in the U.S. and even Europe. Asia is home to huge populations where a rising standard of living should translate into robust economic growth -- a driver of stock prices. The Matthews Asian Growth and Income fund has been a stand-out. If you are comfortable doing your own homework, you can invest directly in foreign stocks. The easiest is to buy American depositary receipts, or ADRs. These securities have have been around since 1927 and represent shares of a foreign company that trade in U.S. markets. Investors can buy and sell them just as they would U.S. stocks. Roughly 2,200 ADRs trade in the U.S., including such international giants as BP (the former British Petroleum), DaimlerChrysler and Sony. ADRs typically aren't so hot if you are looking for a growth company or small, local company, says Mark Headley, president of the Matthews Asia Funds. Those small companies, generally not available as ADRS, are a more pure play on foreign countries since they have no strong ties to the U.S. market. For these sorts of companies, you will have to buy foreign shares. Suppose you are interested in New Zealand retailer Warehouse Group. You could buy its shares in the over-the-counter market in the states for $3.20 apiece. Or you could open a brokerage account in New Zealand or Australia and buy the shares there directly, where they cost just $2.72 in U.S. dollar terms. The price difference points to one of the big drawbacks of buying at home: Stateside dealers mark up the cost to cover their expenses. While many foreign brokerage firms won't accept U.S. investors for various reasons, some online firms will. The best bet: Search the Internet for brokerage firms where you wish to invest, and check with them to find out if they will accept you as a client. After opening an account, you will have to wire money overseas, a relatively painless process. Then, you will be free to trade in that country and often throughout a wider region. And instead of being limited to stocks, you will have easy access to local mutual funds and fixed-income investments as well. --- The arguments for investing a portion of your portfolio overseas: -- Valuations: You can buy top international companies at big discounts to U.S. peers. -- The Dollar: If the U.S. currency continues to weaken, foreign holdings will gain in dollar terms. -- Diversification: Putting 10% to 20% of your portfolio abroad actually makes it less risky. --- |
| (Post 466 of 15224) 05/14/2003.16:14:41 |
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UOB Sesdaq Index....needing some viagra.
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| (Post 467 of 15224) 05/19/2003.12:13:59 |
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Despite the many forced sellings, sesdaq is still holding firm. Perhaps the game is not over yet. |
| (Post 468 of 15224) 05/19/2003.13:14:39 |
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SESDAQ...to run its course |
| (Post 469 of 15224) 05/20/2003.23:10:32 |
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New recession cannot be ruled out, DPM Lee says
Asked if Singapore could face another recession, Mr Lee said economic growth would depend on how fast the region overcomes the outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome and tourism revenues picking up. |
| (Post 470 of 15224) 05/21/2003.08:37:07 |
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...indonesia is emerging gradually from a difficult time,both politically and economically...today pg12... |
| (Post 471 of 15224) 05/24/2003.05:35:07 |
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STI (Daily) - STI has been doing quite well lately. At the least it is now trying to climb the wall of worries.
Despite some hasitation over Wall Street I have not been disappointed with my M.O.A.B. so far. As pointed out by Atss, our market is going to get crazy if the STI is able to surpass 1,340. Let's hope that 1,200 has now been tossed into the history heap and we shall never see it again!!!
Previous pix |
| (Post 472 of 15224) 05/24/2003.05:46:55 |
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Dow (Weekly) - I just can't resist the temptation to talk down on the Dow.
Although it has not been doing quite badly these few days, it seems that another factor is entering the equation: the softening of the US$ and this is worrying! 
Let's see how long it will take before my green support line is broken?? 
Previous pix |
| (Post 473 of 15224) 05/24/2003.10:11:21 |
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BEST Performer -->300% increase |
| (Post 474 of 15224) 05/24/2003.20:41:34 |
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Ochartist - Brilliant analysis - I fully agree that the Singapore market is "going to get crazy if the STI is able to surpass 1,340." - it would just ROCKET with blue chips shooting fast and high  |
| (Post 475 of 15224) 05/24/2003.22:01:37 |
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Although looks good
..... |
| (Post 476 of 15224) 05/24/2003.22:03:28 |
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but could also go this way.
..... |
| (Post 477 of 15224) 05/24/2003.22:31:04 |
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Hi Sgriver,
This one is clearer... |
| (Post 478 of 15224) 05/24/2003.23:15:51 |
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Tonlee,
You think happy days are here again? |
| (Post 479 of 15224) 05/25/2003.19:48:59 |
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Hi Sgriver,
Not yet. First level to break is 1398 and second level is 1470 has to be broken to see happy days
Still too early to speculate on anything though. |
| (Post 480 of 15224) 05/25/2003.20:28:59 |
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Pac Cent, Bil and City Dev will be play of the week based on technical chart and other reasons.
Pac Century - technically it will break through last high of 30.5 and 34 cents soon, Hong Kong being taken off from WHO list of travel advisory positive for Hong Kong stocks this week, big investor keep buying the junk bonds of PCCW for last month will help in share appreciation Bil - technically it has finished its last wave of consolidation from 84 cents to 75 cents, heading towards 84 and 90 cents (Philip securities and Dow Jone Analyst have the same views from their update), BIL receive Thistle taken over 75% of shares confirm its ability by BIL to delist the shares soon, boasted by NTA to more than $1.11 (lowest by estimation by one broking firm, NTA can be boasted up to $1.60), OHL may make his move this week after two weeks of waiting (happen to Nasteel case in average) City Dev - technically very bullish, approaching $4 soon, Good sales in property over weekend will help, undervalued property stocks may be play of this week due to UOL saga, SIngapore to be taken off from the infected area this weekend are very positive for this stock, US reopen of New York Millinium Hotel last week will improve its margin Just watch!!! |
| (Post 481 of 15224) 05/26/2003.00:18:55 |
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We should do that as part of an overall decision to stimulate the economy against a recession. It should not be a one-off thing on property taxes but should involve some measures on wage costs perhaps even on taxes that would take a bit of time for MOF and MTI to work out.
I would prefer not to have individual schemes where you just target one sector. If things continue to deteriorate we would have to do some of these across the board measures over the coming months. The timing of any such stimulus depends on the economy's performance in the coming months. Afterall, the 1.6 percent growth in the first three months did not take into account the full impact of SARS. The economy is at a turning point, this quarter will decide where it goes. I am in favour of taking action earlier rather than later. If you wait until signs are clear companies would run into difficulties, retrenchments would go up, and it'll be more difficult to make up for the ground lost. DPM Tony Tan |
| (Post 482 of 15224) 05/26/2003.07:52:28 |
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The bull should be back soon. After savvy investors like Oei making a sweep on some listed companies here cant help but notice certain counters looked horribly under valued. |
| (Post 483 of 15224) 05/26/2003.11:04:14 |
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A number of results announcements this week.
NOL today, SMT tomorrow, Huan Hsin Wednesday, Courts Thursday, and a spate of 3 companies on Friday: LJ, ComfortDelgro and Cerebos. |
| (Post 484 of 15224) 05/26/2003.16:41:29 |
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Remember hor, market moves up is one good thing, but always remind yourself not to over commit yourself (never chew more than you can eat) |
| (Post 485 of 15224) 05/26/2003.16:56:46 |
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Will our market react the same way when our turn comes?
Hong Kong shares close higher on WHO lifting of travel advisory Source : AFX 26/05/2003 16:23 HONG KONG (AFX-ASIA) - Share prices closed at a four-month high after the World Health Organization lifted its SARS travel warning against Hong Kong and the southern Chinese province of Guangdong, dealers said. The Hang Seng Index closed up 188.98 points, or 2.03 pct, at 9,492.71, off a high of 9,505.79 and a low of 9,411.32, on turnover of 10.665 bln hkd. It was the highest closing level for the index since Jan 22, when it settled at 9,460.60. |
| (Post 486 of 15224) 05/28/2003.07:03:26 |
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Today is 28 May 2003. Just 3 more days to go   |
| (Post 487 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:08:51 |
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Anybody noticed that for the past one hour, the index has been going up? |
| (Post 488 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:16:11 |
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More good days for humankind especially Singaporeans! Yeah! Let's unite for once! |
| (Post 489 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:20:53 |
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Shortists die pain pain again today  |
| (Post 490 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:25:20 |
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Skyfox .. does it got to do with some expiry of options (i remembered something about some futures/options of STI finishing on the last Thursday of every 2-3 months....)
Sorry, not really clear about that.. just something that comes to my mind... |
| (Post 491 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:31:15 |
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Are we able to cross 1350 today?   |
| (Post 492 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:40:32 |
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civicguy, I don't know leh, never try options before... paiseh... |
| (Post 493 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:42:38 |
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Skyfox: Think so..
[Dow Jones] STI breaches 1340 psychological resistance level, + 0.7% at 1347.58 as expiry of STI futures leading to short covering, foreign fund buying of banks. "All the banks were bought simultaneously leading to this recovery," foreign brokerage trader says. Higher Nasdaq futures (June futures up 1.5 points at 1176 while DJIA June futures up 19 points at 8791) also boosting sentiment. Traded volume at 760 million shares with 90 gainers, 179 losers and 390 flat/untraded. (ANU) |
| (Post 494 of 15224) 05/29/2003.16:58:14 |
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Zombie,
I am shiok shiok not die pain pain today. Check out what I said this morning about the market's underlying firmness and the SIMSCI futures trading at a premium . 
By Zombie On Thursday, 29 May 2003 04:20pm [ Jade User ] Posting #490 (Viewing #490 of 494 Total) [ Bookmark ] [ Reply ] Shortists die pain pain again today Index Value : 1347.37 |
| (Post 495 of 15224) 05/31/2003.00:13:04 |
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S'pore firms eye Iraq rebuilding sub-contracts
More than 50 local companies spanning the infrastructure, business services, health care and shipping sectors have expressed interest in this war windfall. Companies known to be keen to win a slice of the action include crane leasing and maintenance company Portek, Keppel Corp, SembCorp Simon-Carves and construction firm Hor Kew. |
| (Post 496 of 15224) 05/31/2003.00:43:40 |
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Double dose of good news (US Dow up by hundreds points and WHO declaration of Singapore out of SARS affected list) will bring STI up at least 30 points on Monday..just watch...SIA, bank stocks, property stock, technology stock all will get boast |
| (Post 497 of 15224) 05/31/2003.00:54:09 |
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sembcorp price most likely up on monday due to bidding rebuilding IRAQ sub-contract...looks good as supported by strong fundamental and a laggard stock now |
| (Post 498 of 15224) 05/31/2003.06:03:31 |
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STI (weekly) - STI is in the process of clearing the resistance around 1,340. There is a good chance that the market is able to move up to the next resistance around 1,500 during the second half of 2003 and this tie in well with the bigger picture.
As long as the Wall of Worries is still intact, I believe there is still room for the market to move higher.
Once the wall starts crumbling down, we can probably take it as a signal that the party is going to end soon!
Previous pix (daily) Previous pix (weekly) |
| (Post 499 of 15224) 05/31/2003.08:57:23 |
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STI will have a breakout technically to break 1400 soon (the very very very hard resistance 1340 was broken last week)...seems this tally with the current conducive situations...double doses of good news (US market Dow up by 139 Nasdaq 21 points with high volume && WHO remove Singapore from affected lists)...if i am not wrong, STI next monday will gain at least 30-50 points for this to be confirmed...just watch...if true, the next following June, July, August and September (take a pause in late September due to October effect in US) will see the index move up to a all high level (at least 1800 points above..whether can touch high of 2200 will depend on whehther there is any more signicant events)...just like year1998 and 2001..watch and be alert |
| (Post 500 of 15224) 06/02/2003.12:02:32 |
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While you guys prefer to put your money into these penny stocks, I am putting them into the larger and bluer ones. Good luck! |
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