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(Post 601 of 15224) 06/12/2003.08:39:52 |
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Market is very BULLISH with intermittent profit-takings.Make the best of it. |
| (Post 602 of 15224) 06/12/2003.09:07:51 |
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buy sembcorp a laggards play...target $1.40...sale of Pacific Internet brewing...special dividend may be possible...after sale of cathay now EPS 14 cents...PE ratio only 8...if sale of Pacific Internet (already find buyer few months ago) come true, it is a very cheap stock with strong fundamental..limited downside |
| (Post 603 of 15224) 06/12/2003.09:07:55 |
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We always make money in the run up and during the bull rally  
Now and then there will be some small minor profit-taking, but that's healthy as it allows the counters to go to new highs  |
| (Post 604 of 15224) 06/12/2003.09:59:45 |
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Will history repeat itself? It just happened yesterday.
... |
| (Post 605 of 15224) 06/12/2003.10:06:07 |
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buy on dip...still a good strategy and you will gain a lot...market consolidating now |
| (Post 606 of 15224) 06/12/2003.12:32:14 |
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At least for now history did not repeat. 
... |
| (Post 607 of 15224) 06/12/2003.12:51:46 |
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Sgriver...you have a change of view now?
Profit taking must be a necessary action. But staying invested should be the case. Todays low volume but higher value compared to previous sessions suggests that 'late birds' from the institutional front are still coming in, in order not to be left out. Take profits but stay invested....free capital for the laggards... in a bull run. |
| (Post 608 of 15224) 06/12/2003.13:10:32 |
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L-Jacobs is also a good buy...EPS more than 12 cents..and expected earning to double...low PE of less than 8...short term target is $1.20...long term target more than $1.80...can keep |
| (Post 609 of 15224) 06/12/2003.13:52:50 |
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Moneytree,
Change of view? No, I just ask whether history would repeat itself and seems like the answer is not. For me, I am not Spaniard so do not do the crazy running of bulls. For those who are interested, check this web, http://www.sanfermin.com/guia/in_encierro1.shtml# |
| (Post 610 of 15224) 06/12/2003.13:55:22 |
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Sgriver...an appropriate pix....running ahead of the bulls  |
| (Post 611 of 15224) 06/12/2003.15:12:59 |
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time to buy Pacific Century...only tech laggard left in STI..a lot of accumulating...target 34 cents soon |
| (Post 612 of 15224) 06/12/2003.15:23:06 |
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but johnny, pac cent has its own set of problems, which is why it's not catching onto the ride like everybody else...the support at 25cts not tested...a bit scared-scared leh... |
| (Post 613 of 15224) 06/12/2003.16:55:28 |
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1480 broken....1800 here we come
By Moneytree On Thursday, 12 Jun 2003 03:33pm [ Premium User ] Posting #2715 (Viewing #2716 of 2731 Total) [ Bookmark ] [ Reply ] CHEERS...1480...here we come ... ...corrections r intraday 1480 (intraday) though...hope it holds in the next couple of days web page |
| (Post 614 of 15224) 06/13/2003.01:09:48 |
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laggards stocks with strong fundamental to buy (a lot of upside but limited downside) are Sembcorp (target $1.40) and L-Jacobs ($1.20) short term...if you are the risk taker, can buy only tech laggards Pacific Century (target 34 cents) |
| (Post 615 of 15224) 06/13/2003.11:52:31 |
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Intraday high .... 1490.10
intraday low ..... 1474.87 as of now 11:52:00 |
| (Post 616 of 15224) 06/13/2003.15:16:44 |
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DJ MARKET TALK/SG: Sing Mkt Offers 20% More Upside - CSFB
Source : Dow Jones 13/06/2003 15:05 [Dow Jones] Despite recent rally, Singapore market offers at least 20% upside potential, says CSFB, as better share valuations likely as higher operational and capital efficiency of companies improve return on equity. Tranport (due to improved outlook), conglomerates (due to recent restructuring) and technology (recovery from massives losses in 2001) will lead overall market gains, it adds. STI now down 0.4% at 1474.1 on profit-taking. (ANU) |
| (Post 617 of 15224) 06/13/2003.15:29:32 |
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should buy on dip...not sell now..sell when market is up...today in fact provide a chance to buy on dip...do not understand why people still want to sell at today price...downside limited..but remember to sell when market is up...require a lot of disclipine |
| (Post 618 of 15224) 06/13/2003.16:50:02 |
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Short the market now. Offer 10%-20% return by T+4. |
| (Post 619 of 15224) 06/14/2003.06:08:13 |
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STI (weekly) - STI managed to break out of the downtrend since January 2000 in term of mathematical scale. However if we look at it in term of logarithm scale, the index is still very much under the influence of the 3-year down trend. It is likely that market will consolidate the recent gains before deciding whether to go forward or to retrace some?  Anyway, there are still plenty of room below the current level for the index to move about.
Previous pix |
| (Post 620 of 15224) 06/14/2003.12:10:21 |
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still buy on dip...the US market is just consolidating...good for STI next week...if you do not buy this time (though the risk is there), you will miss winning back the money you lose for the past few years (90% lose money for past few year according to statistics)...i will still buy Sembcorp (traget $1.40..with good fundamental EPS 14 cents, sale of stake in Pacific Internet etc news), L-jacobs(target $1.20..earning expected to double..EPS of more than 12 cents...low PE of 8), MultiVision (target above 30 cents...results out this month...earnings increase by 8 fold last time...directors expected this quarter to be stunning..SARS will make its sales of video audio conferencing stuff better), City Dev (target above $5..fund manager accumulating now...die hard counter for them to accumulate..hence counter will hold at current price and do not flunctaute much...good fundamental with strong recovery in hotel, properties will help a lot), also Pacific Century (though the risk is higher for this counter, it is the ONLY ONLY laggard here...still target 34 cents...if even penny stock can fly, Pac Cent with HongKong telecom stake should fly)...good luck. |
| (Post 621 of 15224) 06/14/2003.14:54:07 |
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Hi people
Personally I am looking at the Nasdaq and Intel to provide me with the early indicators whether this up trend is not just a counter trend of the prevailing bear trend. Nasdaq On the pull back, it should not break below the price level of 1500. Maximum 1450. If these level are broken through, then the probability of "only a counter trend" is high. On the other hand, if the Nasdaq continue to advance from the pull back and break through the 1625 price level, then a new bull is in the making. We will probably end 2003 with the Index above 2000. Intel The price level of USD23 is the pivotal point. A strong close above this level will signal a good and sustain bull trend. Failure to hold on to the USD20 mean more downside. This will indicate that the current up trend is merely a counter trend. Cheers atss |
| (Post 622 of 15224) 06/14/2003.16:06:08 |
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Why there are no unit trusts in S'pore that just invest in Sesdaq companies....find the next Venture!
Finding big returns for small-caps (NEW YORK) Deep into an electrical engineering degree at college, Walter Prendergast changed course and decided that investing was more in line with a favourite boyhood pastime of tracking stocks with his Uncle Ivan. While growing up in Brooklyn, Mr Prendergast took a keen interest in stocks as he ferreted out the latest market news on Western Union and Sears, whose shares he held. His uncle's job at Western Union servicing Telex and tickertape machines at many of Wall Street's oldest firms, was what helped him get started in investing. 'I sold those shares before I even got to college,' Mr Prendergast said, adding wryly, 'I didn't understand compound math at that time - if I only knew.' Now a portfolio manager with Weiss Peck & Greer Investments, the 38-year-old New Yorker is riding the latest, top-performing wave on Wall Street - small-cap stocks. His US$50 million Tudor Small Cap Growth fund is ranked by fund research firm Lipper Inc in the top quintile for consistent returns. The growth fund, up 18.7 per cent in the three months through the end of May, lags the Russell 2000 benchmark by about 5 per cent, but has outperformed it over the last 12 months. Small-cap stocks benefit as the economy eases out of a recession, Mr Prendergast said, but have also seen a nice boost in earnings from the weak dollar. 'A lot of the small companies have finally gotten around to building export businesses and it had been difficult for them to compete against overseas companies when the dollar was strong,' he explained. Record-low interest rates help the capital intensive firms too, giving them access to cheap loans. 'For my companies, easy credit is their life blood,' Mr Prendergast pointed out. In the second quarter, the amount of convertible bonds sold reached an all-time high as a large number of small and mid-cap firms tapped that market to raise cash. Among the fund's largest holdings is Fair Isaac Corp, a company that provides analytical data for banks and credit card companies. Fair Isaac, whose stock has risen about 23 per cent since mid-March and now trades at US$53.80, provides credit scores used by banks and credit card companies to measure each lender's risk. With the home mortgage refinancing boom at full bore as lending rates sink lower with each passing week, 'they are just churning out money', Mr Prendergast said of Fair Isaac. The San Diego-based company makes up just over 3 per cent of the portfolio. Of the fund's latest investments, Vital Images has risen about 61 per cent since mid-March and now trades at US$14.92. Vital Images, which only recently began trading on the Nasdaq, makes medical imaging software that takes advantage of new regulations that helps patients keep better track of their medical records while requiring doctors to keep standardized forms for each patient, Mr Prendergast said. 'The company definitely has a niche that is very exploitable, and we like the management,' he said. - Reuters |
| (Post 623 of 15224) 06/14/2003.16:13:31 |
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Making money on earnings surprises from BT's findings
On average, stock prices started moving even before the results were announced. This could be due to the market's anticipation of good results. And on the first day after the announcements were released, there was a sharp jump in the price. In some cases, the cumulative jump in the share five days before and one day after the results announcement is as high as 40 per cent. However, not all companies with positive earnings surprises registered price gains after their results were made public. Share price fall, despite better-than-expected earnings due to extraordinary items which the market did not think would be recurrent. The chances of making money are greater if the stock is one that's not that widely followed by analysts. This also means that it is likely to be a small- or medium-capitalisation stock. For all stocks, the price, on average, continues to go up for the next four days following the results announcement. But the magnitude of the climb is smaller. Then there would be profit-taking before another surge, but this time, the rise would be gentler, taking place some 30 trading days after the initial earnings surprise. However, breaking the analysis down to small/mid-cap stocks versus the big-cap ones, it appears that the returns of small/mid-cap stocks are more sustainable. Half-a-year after reporting better-than-expected earnings, small/mid-cap stocks on average outperformed the general market by about 10 per cent. Meanwhile, there are also big-cap stocks which have chalked up sustained, handsome gains after reporting earnings surprises. These would be companies which beat analysts' forecasts consistently. But on the whole, because big-cap stocks are much more widely covered by analysts, any surprises are worked into the share price much faster. And hence the chances of you profiting from these surprises are slimmer - unless it is a turnaround story. In that case, the first surprise earnings may win over a few analysts, but not all. And as the company continues to be on the mend and builds on its strengths - which becomes increasingly reflected in its results - more analysts will come on board. Gradually, the share price will reflect the true picture. Thus, if you are one of the early spotters of a turnaround story, you may be able to profit from your astuteness. |
| (Post 624 of 15224) 06/14/2003.16:19:50 |
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talkbutnoaction, you are right...one potential such stock now is MultiVision...results to be out this month, Earnings will be stunning, Not cover by analyst, just watch |
| (Post 625 of 15224) 06/14/2003.20:23:06 |
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Insider's Knowldege? |
| (Post 626 of 15224) 06/14/2003.21:29:30 |
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newsbreak
S'pore jobless rate hits 4.5% in March (SINGAPORE) Singapore's unemployment rate rose in the first quarter of this year to match the highs reached last year. The rate could worsen to beyond 5.5 per cent later this year if the economic impact of Sars drags on, the Manpower Ministry said yesterday. The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate rose to 4.5 per cent in March 2003 after dipping to 4.2 per cent in December 2002. Among residents, the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 5.2 per cent, matching the high of a year ago. The ministry estimated that a non-seasonally adjusted 75,000 residents were unemployed, of which about a third had been looking for work for at least six months. Total employment shrank for the seventh consecutive quarter by 4,089 in the first quarter, led by declines in the construction industry. - By Denesh Divyanathan |
| (Post 627 of 15224) 06/14/2003.21:35:48 |
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Unemployment is arguably the most impt leading economic indicator. |
| (Post 628 of 15224) 06/14/2003.22:15:18 |
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US |
| (Post 629 of 15224) 06/15/2003.08:46:01 |
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Unemployment one of the many worries??  |
| (Post 630 of 15224) 06/15/2003.13:53:13 |
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one yr top losers became top winners
It is always like a reprisal |
| (Post 631 of 15224) 06/15/2003.23:30:21 |
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Well... will our stocks open higher or lower come tomorrow?
My take is that there will be some sell-off and shorting in the early morning due to the US' consumer sentiment report last Friday... followed by bargain-hunting and the usual short-covering near the end of day
Besides... the market never goes up in a straight line anyway |
| (Post 632 of 15224) 06/15/2003.23:57:24 |
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watch L-Jacobs on Monday ...positive one |
| (Post 633 of 15224) 06/16/2003.08:15:25 |
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The local market is still BULLISH and there will be profit-takings along the way.It should cross over to 1500 soon. |
| (Post 634 of 15224) 06/16/2003.10:06:42 |
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...for those who missed the ride....HOW???
...the maxim is, when in doubt sell ...but be nimble and don't get caught short. ... |
| (Post 635 of 15224) 06/16/2003.14:40:48 |
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BROKER CALL - Singapore stockmarket still offers minimum 20 pct upside - CSFB Source : AFX 16/06/2003 14:31
SINGAPORE (AFX-ASIA) - Credit Suisse First Boston said the Singapore stockmarket still offers a minimum 20 pct upside despite its recent rally. "Despite the recent rally, we believe that Singapore continues to offer at least 20 pct potential upside," it said. "Based on current prices, the implied 2003 earnings growth for the market is a negative 23 pct versus CSFB's forecast of 13.10 pct (on recurring earnings)," it said. There is a low risk for earnings downgrades, CSFB said, adding that its own earnings assumption is about 5.0 pct below consensus. CSFB said corporate earnings should be supported not only by revenue growth but also by margin improvements expected until 2005. "We believe that there is room for further improvement on cost and operational efficiency," it said. Among the sectors seeing improvements in operating margins are transport, technologies and conglomerates, it said. Return on equity (ROE) is also improving simultaneously with improving operating margins, it said. "This rising ROE trend is expected to take place while the financial leverage ratio is declining. In other words, capital efficiency is forecast to improve. If a capital efficiency improvement does materialise, it would likely be seen as positive for market valuations," it said. Among CSFB's top picks are Neptune Orient Lines, Singapore Press Holdings, City Developments, DBS Group, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, SembCorp Industries and ST Engineering. singapore@afxasia.com jb/rc |
| (Post 636 of 15224) 06/17/2003.08:49:20 |
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Market still BULLISH, make the best of it.BIL moves in line with BULLISH trend. |
| (Post 637 of 15224) 06/17/2003.09:15:13 |
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buy L-Jacobs...laggard with strong fundamenta; |
| (Post 638 of 15224) 06/17/2003.09:57:31 |
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ST Assembly and Fastech have high betas |
| (Post 639 of 15224) 06/17/2003.15:33:46 |
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-- The World Health Organization says it has lifted a SARS travel advisory against Taiwan with immediate effect. Watch CNN or log on to http://edition.cnn.com /AOL Keyword: CNN for the latest news. |
| (Post 640 of 15224) 06/17/2003.16:30:27 |
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buy on dip...US market will cheong again tonight...if you do not take this calculated risk you will miss the rally of STI to 1556...i am reversing all my previous post and buying in now |
| (Post 641 of 15224) 06/17/2003.16:52:25 |
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Logically, the pennies should take a rest. |
| (Post 642 of 15224) 06/17/2003.16:55:37 |
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that is why some people miss the rally in US...do not dare to buy and waiting for logical reasons...just see the strength yesterday night...it is definitely not a one day affair |
| (Post 643 of 15224) 06/17/2003.17:29:05 |
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So be it. |
| (Post 644 of 15224) 06/17/2003.18:06:58 |
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Though the STI moved up 28 points today, the volume has shrunk to 681 mil. Also, the smaller stocks were not so much in play as well. Maybe it is time for a rest. But I will certainly be watching the volume traded before committing more ammo into the market. As always, I have been taking profits along the way. Good luck folks and don't forget that a profit is not a profit until we have sold the shares. |
| (Post 645 of 15224) 06/18/2003.09:53:34 |
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After monies return for failed applications, penny stocks are all active again. Mediastream up by 1 cts, Goldtron hits 1 yrs high of 3.5 cts etc.. |
| (Post 646 of 15224) 06/18/2003.10:02:40 |
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buy on dip...yesterday bought Pac Century, TAC, ST Assembly, Sembcorp, MultiVision...all laggards that will up a lot...tonight Morgan Stanley result will be super solid which will push the US market further up...until Nasdaq reahed 1722 |
| (Post 647 of 15224) 06/18/2003.10:04:38 |
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also calling for L-Jacobs...watch out for all these stocks which fund manager will buy in |
| (Post 648 of 15224) 06/18/2003.10:07:09 |
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Wah... after 10am and the STI is climbing back up.
Augurs well for our stock market man! |
| (Post 649 of 15224) 06/18/2003.10:52:07 |
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buy stocks that fund manager will buy in these few days...L-Jacobs, Sembcorp, City Development, TAC, ST Assembly...all laggards with a lot of upside and supported by strong fundamental |
| (Post 650 of 15224) 06/18/2003.10:58:39 |
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High Beta stocks will surge soon! Watch for it ! |
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