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(Post 751 of 15224) 07/01/2003.17:15:12 |
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As long as STI maintains above 1450 points it should be OK .Those who gamble the SiMSCI should take note that the downside is 1780 points and the upside should be close to 1890 points.As long as DJ does not correct to 8500 points, STI should look good.If DJ corrects drastically then STI is going to head downwards to 1400 points.Basically I don't see DJ going towards 8500 unless something drastic happens. |
| (Post 752 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:20:05 |
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DJ drop may trigger shortsellers to flood the market.But with syndicates watchful eyes, they may cornered the shorts and ended in positive territory.But I believe DJ drop is not that drastic to cause panic. |
| (Post 753 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:26:41 |
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pro, seems you have no luck and your call does not count  ...already warn you a few times that do not depend on luck to make money in stock market...got to follow the BIG fish method of playing...hope you are not holding large position now...anyway, the bearishness will bring more short sellers into play for this week...more selling ahead in July...just watch |
| (Post 754 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:32:40 |
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Johnnyned you are totally wrong because I made some monies twice from BIL.For your infor I unloaded BIL on monday.I aso mentioned that I got my new car from the stock market.I don't need 'LUCK' I only need the LORD,HE is the PROVIDER.With low volume, Syndicate can easily cornered the shorts. |
| (Post 755 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:35:45 |
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nice to hear that you are making money  ...good luck...anyway my stand is still SELL...do not bend against the wall and i will be proven right again |
| (Post 756 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:38:21 |
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Mkt overbought!
Waiting for more corrections before entering market.. Enter mkt then buy cheap cheap.. 
 |
| (Post 757 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:40:22 |
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If you know me from the days of CSM, I was buying Chartered like crazy when it was at 60 cents and alots of folks were telling me that it will go bust. Do you know I made 50% profit from my deal.Looking at DJ I doubt it will drop to 8500 points. |
| (Post 758 of 15224) 07/01/2003.23:47:33 |
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I also have my doubt that STI will drop back to 1400.Our government is doing everything they can to be pro-business by lowering JTC rental. |
| (Post 759 of 15224) 07/02/2003.07:48:19 |
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There was a fight between the bull and the bear at DJ and ended with the bull winning 55.5 points to 9041.STI still on tract to 1500 . |
| (Post 760 of 15224) 07/02/2003.15:23:32 |
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The STI will continue to head north so is SIMSCI because the DJ was suppose to make major correction but instead increased by 55.5 points.Some folks tried to block the SIMSCI futures by queing to sell at big lots but buyers simply gobble up those lots from the sellers.Tonight DJ will head North again as the BULL overpowered the bear. |
| (Post 761 of 15224) 07/02/2003.17:14:28 |
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At this moment DJ Futures is up 30 points. DJ failed to make that correction yesterday despite dropping to 100 points at one stage but the Bull took over and ended in positive territory. Tonight DJ is going to head north targeting for 10000 points. SMSCI Futures is also traded in positive territory. Tomorrow STI will head north again. Make the best of this opportunity. |
| (Post 762 of 15224) 07/02/2003.22:12:55 |
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Folks who watch CNBC news should know that the majority of Fund Managers in US are positive about US markets.They claim that the US markets are BULLISH. STI is also Bullish targeting for 1500 and beyond. |
| (Post 763 of 15224) 07/03/2003.06:56:45 |
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Folks, 2 days ago some fund managers said that DJ rise was 'too fast' and need a correction to 8400 points,in fact on Tuesday night DJ at one stage dropped by 100 points but the Bull managed to wrestled control and DJ ended with a 55.5 points gain.In Singapore it was no different some folks and dealers said the same thing and STI should correct to 1400 points but instead went up by 20 points to 1477.Last night majority of fundmanagers said that DJ is heading for a BULL run and confirmed by propelling 101.9 points to 9142.8.This morning according to 'Talking Stock' page of the ST, some dealers are saying that a serious correction is long overdue.They further added that a sustained rise in stock prices was not healthy.All these statesment are made because they either shorted the market or missed the boat.Folks as long as the PE ratios are realistic and prices are resonable there is no need for worry. If price of OCBC is $50 as it happened in the late 60s or early 70s then I fully agree with the dealers statesment. Until then, folks make the best of the opportunity as the STI is shooting towards 1500 |
| (Post 764 of 15224) 07/03/2003.11:26:58 |
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Pro, what's your view point of this bullish trend? When/where do you think is a right sanity stop (to take profit). Care to share? Thks. |
| (Post 765 of 15224) 07/03/2003.11:44:09 |
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Two cornered stocks right now....
One is TAC The other one is SMT |
| (Post 766 of 15224) 07/03/2003.12:19:15 |
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STI heading to 1550 this time ! |
| (Post 767 of 15224) 07/03/2003.12:21:46 |
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STI is still a laggard compared to regional markets ! |
| (Post 768 of 15224) 07/03/2003.13:18:20 |
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DJ MARKET TALK/SG: STI +1%; May Break 1500 Later
Source : Dow Jones 03/07/2003 12:45 0445 GMT [Dow Jones] STI +1% at 1491.86 midday, as higher U.S. and regional markets bring fresh institutional buying. "The increasing attraction for Asian equities is bringing new hedge funds to the Singapore market also," says local trader. While STI off intraday high 1497.11, some traders still expect STI to breach 1500 when European markets open later. Techs among big gainers after Nasdaq's 2.4% rise; STATS (S24) +6.8%, Chartered +3.7%. Volume heavy at 737 million shares vs 465 million midday yesterday, with 169 gainers, 60 losers, 429 flat/untraded. (ANU) |
| (Post 769 of 15224) 07/03/2003.19:21:27 |
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STI takes the cue from DJ.Right now DJ Futures is down about 30 points and tonight DJ spot is trading for 1/2 a day most probably DJ spot might end in negative territory as folks took profit and cleared their position for long weekend.For STI folks will be taking profit tomorrow. |
| (Post 770 of 15224) 07/03/2003.21:09:26 |
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US Jobless rate up to 6.4% |
| (Post 771 of 15224) 07/03/2003.22:05:19 |
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How rumours start...
. . . . |
| (Post 772 of 15224) 07/04/2003.02:13:21 |
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DJIA and Nasdaq are bleeding!!! or ?
Guess it depends on which side of the fence you are now waiting!! |
| (Post 773 of 15224) 07/04/2003.09:06:52 |
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US market is holding well...with ISM up above 60% setting the mood though some profit taking yesterday, foresee the market will be up again on monday in big fashion after holiday...buy on dip is best strategy...will hold more ST Assembly and Chartered position...target ST Assembly (above $2.00) and chartered (above $1.07) next week. |
| (Post 774 of 15224) 07/04/2003.09:09:17 |
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STI will most likely up on good industry data...more than 50 which indicate expansion...European traders will like to buy STI stock this afternoon due to good result...foresee STI to be above 1500 soon |
| (Post 775 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:01:54 |
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I predict STI will fall around 10 points at close. |
| (Post 776 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:02:29 |
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Johnnyned, your mood swing from bull to bear to bull is more frequent than the menstral cycle. |
| (Post 777 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:22:23 |
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this is the art of the market...mood swings very fast...wonder how many years you know about the stock market...memory is volatile but stock sentiment change per week not like menstral change per month...but per week still can make lots of money for targetted shares |
| (Post 778 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:25:03 |
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STI Cheong ahhh!   |
| (Post 779 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:31:56 |
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Shortists die pain pain again today  |
| (Post 780 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:36:43 |
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I call this the "art of gambling"!
"By Johnnyned On Friday, 04 Jul 2003 10:22am [ Premium User ] Posting #778 (Viewing #778 of 780 Total) [ Bookmark ] [ Reply ] this is the art of the market...mood swings very fast...wonder how many years you know about the stock market...memory is volatile but stock sentiment change per week not like menstral change per month...but per week still can make lots of money for targetted shares Index Value : 1485.45 |
| (Post 781 of 15224) 07/04/2003.10:55:46 |
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The market is going up again
More upside action coming |
| (Post 782 of 15224) 07/04/2003.11:00:10 |
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chiong harrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
shortist better dont try, else you will be shot dead, ha ha ha |
| (Post 783 of 15224) 07/04/2003.11:08:01 |
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Deputy Superintendent of Police (DSP) Loh Jee Cheong said the figure was about 18,000 in the first five months of this year.
'It was 13,000 last year for the same period,' he added. Increased enforcement efforts, which has led to more drivers being caught for speeding, could be one reason for the jump in figures. 'We have also re-prioritised our direction and are focusing on speeding,' said DSP Loh. According to the Traffic Police, out of more than 18,000 motorists who were booked for speeding in the first five months of this year, 666 cases were involved in speed-related accidents. The Traffic Police has about 1,000 officers patrolling 3,000km network of roads. Motorists caught for speeding can be fined up to $1,000 or be jailed for up to three months. They also can have their driving licences suspended. The Traffic Police has been carrying out operations like the one yesterday at least once a month. Last night, the first phase of the operation had roving patrols that started at 9pm. The media were invited to watch the second phase on the PIE. Story Index |
| (Post 784 of 15224) 07/05/2003.06:23:01 |
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Still knocking at the door of the 3.5 year downtrend. 
Previous pix |
| (Post 785 of 15224) 07/05/2003.07:51:45 |
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STI Cheong ahhhh!!! |
| (Post 786 of 15224) 07/05/2003.14:45:56 |
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From BT 5/7/03
Construction's crumbling dream Gone are the heady days when the industry was hailed as one of the pillars of the economy, says ANDREA TAN ONCE it was easy to build one's fortunes on construction. Today, as almost any contractor would tell you, that is but a crumbling dream. Falling demand: Industry observers say there is precious little room for the current huge number of contractors to exist. There have been numerous calls for industry players to consolidate and gain better economies of scale. Words such as pay disputes, judicial management, liquidation, scheme of arrangements are increasingly being associated with the foundering industry. In a market where demand is contracting, industry observers say there is precious little room for the current huge number of contractors to exist. There are 1,691 registered building and civil engineering contractors fighting over a $12 billion pie. This means each slice of the shrinking pie is worth only about $7 million. To get around this, there have been numerous calls for industry players to consolidate and gain better economies of scale. Even the Building and Construction Authority's chief executive officer Chionh Chye Khye had earlier admitted that there should be a proportionate decline in the number of contractors as demand plunges from an average of $16 billion to $12 billion. 'You can't sustain those numbers,' he said. Few have heeded. Others are exploring new areas of business or abandoning the construction industry altogether. Enersave has gone into the credit card and furniture business, L&M tried its hand at a cyber city in Indonesia, Van der Horst is going into oil, PDC into electronics and United Fiber Systems into forestry. According to BCA data, there were only two mergers or acquisitions for the year to March 2003, or fiscal year 2002. In BCA's previous fiscal year, there were 11 such deals, compared with four in FY 2000. So far, construction companies which have undergone a change of ownership have shown scant improvement in their corporate performance. Hiap Hoe Ltd, which did a reverse takeover on Chew Eu Hock Holdings, turned in a net loss of $9.5 million for the six months ended January, against a net profit of $676,000 previously. Perhaps it's early days. Yet until results show mergers produce results, it's understandable that construction firms - many of which are family-controlled operations - would be loathe to hand over the reins. With the industry in turmoil, old hands in the industry ask what makes a newcomer think he can do a better job when they've been around for such a long time. 'There has already been some consolidation and there would probably be more,' UOB Kay Hian's head of research Yang Sy Jian said. 'The restructuring activities do suggest the industry is going through a consolidation phase.' Rajah and Tann partner Patrick Ang, too, said the industry needed to go through a consolidation. 'The industry as a whole may also need to re-evaluate its system where some contractors bid for jobs as go-betweens but sub-contract the entire contract bit by bit so they may not do anything,' he said. The plight of the industry is obvious. 'We're at the stage of the cycle where property developers are not building much and there are not many major projects where construction companies can benefit from, and given the very competitive industry, it's hard for construction companies to see a good flow through to the bottom line,' Mr Yang said. 'The construction industry may recover but at this stage of the cycle it's hard to say when.' Deloitte and Touche partner Tam Chee Chong said: 'It's a vicious circle. Many contractors are putting in very competitive quotes where they knew they were going to lose money from the start in order to secure jobs. This just taxes the company's resources further, resulting in delays or shoddy jobs, the owner taking action and delaying payment and the contractor not having the cashflow. This aggravates the delay and quality of the work.' Even the big boys have not been spared. Of the 41 companies listed on the construction index, 20 posted losses in the most recently reported financial year. Econ International chalked up the largest loss of $138.9 million for the year ended March 2003. Hiap Hoe, the former Chew Eu Hock, was next with a net loss of $60 million for the year ended July 2002. The best performer Lee Kim Tah only managed a net profit of $5.3 million for the year ended December 2002. Eight had profits of under $1 million. Gone are the heady days when the construction industry was hailed as one of the pillars of the economy. Today, it is a laggard. Econ recently fought off a judicial management and liquidation threat when its creditors agreed to a scheme of arrangement. Econ, which has negative equity of $21.8 million as at end-March, owes a staggering $256 million to 1,475 creditors. Yongnam Holdings creditors too approved a debt-restructuring scheme. Yongnam owes UOB close to $55 million and trade creditors another $26 million. Other listed contractors have been hit directly or through their subsidiaries. Hua Kok International recently placed its subsidiary Hua Kok Precast under receivership while PDC Corp petitioned to put its unit Hong Lai Huat Construction under judicial management. Only recently did Hiap Hoe's subsidiary Chew Eu Hock Construction managed to pluck itself out of judicial management - a situation it has been in since November 2001. 'There is a lot of pressure to place construction companies under some insolvency framework because quite often, a lot of the creditors will be filing suits in court to get judgment to try and enforce payment,' said Rajah and Tann's Mr Ang. 'In such cases, the company will then have to protect itself, or creditors will try to act to prevent others from getting preferential payment. As an alternative to insolvency proceedings, the company can apply for a section 210 Companies Act scheme, which provides time for the company to restructure with a moratorium against legal actions.' Judicial managers say there's usually nothing much they can do to help construction companies. 'The situation is so serious that it becomes very difficult to manage unlike in the trading or manufacturing companies where we can start afresh,' Deloitte's Mr Tam said. 'However, appointing a scheme administrator allows the company to operate as a going concern and it has a better chance of survival.' Mr Tam has handled quite a few cases involving construction companies. 'In the construction industry, it is very peculiar as owners are allowed to terminate projects of contractors, especially those under judicial management, and call on performance bond; there will be more liabilities and this would mean an even harder task to try and salvage the company,' he said. 'Sometimes even in situations like these, good value can be extracted provided the insolvency is properly managed where the projects are kept going and owners and creditors are dealt with appropriately.' Even then, there is little investor interest in the sector. 'The interest is not there,' UOB Kay Hian's Mr Yang said simply. 'Once in a while you do get some spark but it's more speculative than anything else. It's less related to construction activities but how the companies have been moving into other areas. Construction is not the flavour of the market. There are a whole lot of other choices for investors.' |
| (Post 787 of 15224) 07/05/2003.14:58:56 |
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Safe to touch L&M,BBR &Hiap Hoe.
Avoid Econ, PDC, Yongnam |
| (Post 788 of 15224) 07/05/2003.15:06:25 |
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New additions help upgrades portfolio climb 1.6%
By TEH HOOI LING THE analysts' upgrades portfolio saw the biggest climb this week - a 1.6 per cent rise. A significant part of the gains was contributed by new additions to the portfolio. We did a rebalancing on Tuesday, July 1. The upgrades done by analysts in the one week to July 1 were added. They include Cheung Woh, CSE Global, Federal International, SembCorp Industries, Singapore Post, TT International and Want Want. As at Thursday, most of these stocks have appreciated, with the biggest climber being Want Want. The counter rose some 7 per cent. To date, the analysts' upgrades portfolio has put on 16.8 per cent to $175,134 compared with the dummy capital of $150,000. The lowest price-to-book portfolio is another one which registered gains this week despite having to incur transaction costs as a result of the rebalancing. It is up by about one per cent from a week ago, bringing its total gains to 94.4 per cent or $141,608, compared with the dummy capital of $150,000. Based on data from Thomson Financial Datastream, the 10 stocks which were trading at the deepest discount to their book value as at July 1 were Econ International, Lion Teck Chiang, Asia Food and Properties, Hong Fok, Jurong Cement, Orchard Parade, Super Bowl, San Teh, Hiap Moh and Low Keng Huat. The portfolio value was also augmented by dividends from Low Keng Huat, which is paying 1.56 cents of dividends after tax of 22 per cent, or $858, for our holdings of 55,000 shares. Based on its closing share price of 35.5 cents on Tuesday, the dividend yield was a decent 4.4 per cent. The one-month top winners portfolio suffered the biggest loss in value this week, down by about 6 per cent. The decline trimmed its gains to date to just 10.4 per cent, making it the worst-performing portfolio among the five we track. The one-year top losers portfolio is still holding on to its 90 per cent gains. Stocks which have lost the most value in percentage terms for the year to July 1, 2003, are Asian Micro, Chartered Semiconductor, Global Tech, Hiap Hoe, ITE Electric, Leong Hin, Mae Engineering, New Wave, PDC and Yongnam. Stocks with the lowest forward price-to-earnings ratios have chalked up profits of 34.6 per cent to date. The top performers in this portfolio are Xpress Holdings and Target Realty. To recap, rebalancing is done on the first trading day of the month and stocks are held for three months. |
| (Post 789 of 15224) 07/05/2003.15:07:17 |
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1 month top winners |
| (Post 790 of 15224) 07/05/2003.15:07:59 |
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Analysts Upgrades & Lowest PTB margins Stocks |
| (Post 791 of 15224) 07/05/2003.15:16:56 |
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Will S'pore's Mkt be pushed up along with M'sian stocks or will some liquidity be drawn away ?
M'sian stocks rally as investors pile in Rotational play lifts stocks across sectors; upward wave seen lasting till year-end FOREIGN investors and locals alike have were jumping into Malaysia's stock market this week, eager to ride the upward wave that many believe could stretch till the end of the year. So far the play has been rotational, recently oil and gas stocks and then banks. And although construction stocks have run up, we believe that they have another round to go as news of several large contracts are expected in the next two weeks,' he said yesterday. |
| (Post 792 of 15224) 07/06/2003.07:36:12 |
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And face similar problems such as the CLOB issue all over again?
No thanks, Mad Hatter... our own Sing market will do nicely, thank you. |
| (Post 793 of 15224) 07/06/2003.14:07:52 |
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Money is flowing into global equities.....has hot money arrived?....or the early phases of it...and are we well into it???
A link (below) kept for reference and espaeciall if you've just noticed the markets upward movements. web page |
| (Post 794 of 15224) 07/06/2003.14:10:49 |
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Outstanding gains were made here ....pls note....Zombie.
web page |
| (Post 795 of 15224) 07/06/2003.21:56:12 |
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Therefore.... STI WILL Cheong ahhhh!!!
The only reason why the nay-sayers are wishing we are all dead is because they are hoping against hope for a lower entry level into the market  |
| (Post 796 of 15224) 07/07/2003.09:16:41 |
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chartered and ST Assembly still on target to above $1.07 and $2.00 this week respectively |
| (Post 797 of 15224) 07/07/2003.09:26:02 |
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chartered technically can attempt $1.07 and $1.20 (if US Market super bullish)this week...once break thorugh $1.00, will have 90 percent chance to head towrads $1.07....limited downside but lot of upside |
| (Post 798 of 15224) 07/07/2003.09:41:58 |
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chartered to be heading towards $1.07 and $1.20 this week...another potential TAC...there will be news update soon on new contract i think... |
| (Post 799 of 15224) 07/07/2003.09:48:43 |
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A lot of buying was held back because of uncertainty, and after nothing much happened, no bombs no nothing on 4th July, US Independence Day, we get some sort of relief buying. Good luck har. |
| (Post 800 of 15224) 07/07/2003.11:45:14 |
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Close eyes buy Oooo. CHRT=1.10 closing, Dcft 1.18, TAC 1.90, Sinomem 0.80!!!!! |
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