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(Post 1101 of 15224) 08/09/2003.06:55:39 |
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NASDAQ (Weekly) - Instead of shooting all the way to the 2,000 level as envisaged, the NASDAQ has weakended considerable in the last few sessions. It dropped below the 10-week (or 50-day) moving average which is not a very good sign.
Let's hope it can consolidate above the few downtrend lines that it has broken out recently. 
Previous pix |
| (Post 1102 of 15224) 08/09/2003.11:32:48 |
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Ochartist. Umm. Heading for 1450 support? |
| (Post 1103 of 15224) 08/10/2003.21:16:55 |
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Reasons to be cautious on the STI
1. Leadership stocks are losing their momentum. The banks reported poor results which will cap short term gains. By the way the banks carries about 40% of the weightage in STI. The big caps tech stocks like Venture, St Sassembly, Creative, Chartered and TAC are struggling at current levels. 2. Volume is falling. Most of the volume is from in-trading of selected stocks. 3. Negative seasonality is here. 7 Month Ghost Month and the September effect affects sentiment. 4. Nasdaq and DOW are not offering leadership. Nasdaq looked toppish. 5. Our government just downgraded our growth forecast. 6. Local interest rates looked to have bottomed. Are we following the US interest rates? Warren Buffet cut it's bonds holdings. An ominous sign for interest rates. Our property sector will be the first to feel it. 7. On technical grounds, STI just broke the uptrend line(from end April to end July). STI looked like a DOUBLE TOP at 1600. It has negative divergence with regards to MACD and RSI(both with lower highs). 8. The number of insider selling has been on the rise. Normally this is a bad sign. 9.The spate of recent IPOs is draining away liquidity from the market. 10. The recent falls in the pennies stocks is beginning to hurt the retailers. They need to rest and regroup. It is important that STI rebonds above 1545, failing which the chart will form a DOUBLE TOP, HEAD and SHOULDER. Just my opinion PS> Both NIKKEI and Hang Seng also broke their uptrend lines. |
| (Post 1104 of 15224) 08/10/2003.21:49:21 |
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XFactor
Whenever there are bearish broadbrush proclamations like these, it means Buy 
Tell me which are the leadership stocks? |
| (Post 1105 of 15224) 08/10/2003.22:54:56 |
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With falling interesting rates, raising share prices, followed by rising comodity prices, I think the bottom has already been found!
Am I correct??? |
| (Post 1106 of 15224) 08/10/2003.23:38:24 |
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STI Directions: Nasdaq seems to be going downhill, looks like tech counters will be a good buy tomorrow. |
| (Post 1107 of 15224) 08/11/2003.00:13:53 |
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Our government just downgraded our growth forecast.
Good buy to come!!! |
| (Post 1108 of 15224) 08/11/2003.07:25:47 |
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Lots of new nicks appearing. "Old wine" in new bottles (packaging)  |
| (Post 1109 of 15224) 08/11/2003.08:24:22 |
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And when they appear, they appeared in group. |
| (Post 1110 of 15224) 08/11/2003.10:47:26 |
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Over the weekend at National Day celebration dinners, some ministers hint that CPF may be tinkered with. Wat impact on STI????, as this is part of wage restructuring efforts...to make our manufacturing industries competitive again....hence preventing job losses. |
| (Post 1111 of 15224) 08/11/2003.11:49:07 |
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cut cpf contribution from employer again? it can't be releasing cpf $ to individual b4 age 55, rite? |
| (Post 1112 of 15224) 08/11/2003.11:55:46 |
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The choices available are little. Weak S$, lower wage costs, lower fees/utilities or jobs LOST forever. Land costs need be brought down too, albeit slowly.
We cannot pass this problem, COMPETITIVENESS, onto future generations. |
| (Post 1113 of 15224) 08/11/2003.12:21:20 |
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Dow Jones News
DJ MARKET TALK/SG: ING Raises FY03 STI Target To 1720 11 August 2003, 12:09 [Dow Jones] ING raises STI 2003 year-end target by 2.4% to 1720 after raising overall market earnings from 12.7% to 17.7% in FY03 and 15.3% to 21.2% in FY04; rise in bank loans, new property sales and improvement in capacity utilization of some export sectors indicate "reflation is well on track." Preferred stocks; UOB (U11), DBS (D05), SPH (S37), Venture (V03), CityDev (C09) and Keppel Corp (K02). STI +0.4% at 1540.99. (ANU) |
| (Post 1114 of 15224) 08/11/2003.14:53:34 |
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BANKS WILL UNDERPIN THE STI.
UOB LINKED COS (DIVESTMENT) WILL TOO. DJ MARKET TALK/SG: Banks Mostly Flat; Rising Rates To Help 11/08/2003 11:49 [Dow Jones] Banks mostly flat, though UOB (U11) +0.8% at $12.80, as expectations of higher mortgage rates keep investors tied to stocks despite downward revision of FY03 GDP target. DB says Singapore banks on brink of raising lending rates especially mortgage rates following rise in interbank rates; rise in lending rates very positive for banks' profitability especially for banks that are large net lenders in interbank market. Also, competition from foreign banks declines when interbank rates rise. Expects DBS (D05), flat at $11.00 to benefit most from rising rates. OCBC (O11) flat at $10.80.(ANU) |
| (Post 1115 of 15224) 08/11/2003.15:38:24 |
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At some point, NON BELIEVERS will have to come in, lest they risk underperforming. Hot flow and liquidity. Game not over yet?????? or is it???? Surprise for the economy on PM's National Day rally speech nite. |
| (Post 1116 of 15224) 08/12/2003.11:19:53 |
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DJ MARKET TALK/SG: Asian Stk Mkts May See More Inflows
12/08/2003 11:10 0310 GMT [Dow Jones] Fund flows into Asian equity markets will keep rising in coming years, says GAM chief investment officer Michael Bunker; cites as main reasons slow pace of U.S. economic recovery, greater appreciation of China's role as region's growth driver, restructuring of Japanese companies. View reinforced by net inflow figures in first half; according to EmergingPortfolio.com Fund Research, Asia ex-Japan had net inflows of $765.3 million in 1H, Japan-specific funds had net inflows of $474 million; adds these markets posting highest net inflows globally.(RDR) |
| (Post 1117 of 15224) 08/12/2003.15:48:14 |
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Profit taking time. |
| (Post 1118 of 15224) 08/12/2003.20:31:03 |
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Anybody knows how come everytime I sold the share price always go up??  |
| (Post 1119 of 15224) 08/12/2003.21:39:31 |
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Skyfox,
This is because when you sold the counter there is one less person giving it pressure therefore less gravity holding the price down. Don't keep thinking it that way or else it will happen virtually all the time. |
| (Post 1120 of 15224) 08/12/2003.21:44:54 |
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Skyfox,
You know what is called suay ? Think you have to stop awhile. |
| (Post 1121 of 15224) 08/12/2003.21:47:48 |
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skyfox just take it u give others a chance to buy as long it is a profit will do  |
| (Post 1122 of 15224) 08/13/2003.09:53:19 |
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U.S. FUTURES & MARKETS INDICATORS
Sep 2003 Change Price Last updated S&P 500† -0.90 989.20 8/12 09:51 Fair Value 989.31 8/12 09:51 Difference * -0.11 8/12 09:51 Sep 2003 Change Price Last updated NASDAQ† -4.50 1239.00 8/12 09:51 Fair Value 1241.90 8/12 09:51 Difference * -2.90 8/12 09:51 Sep 2003 Change Price Last updated DOW JONES† - 12.00 9280.00 8/12 09:51 |
| (Post 1123 of 15224) 08/13/2003.10:37:57 |
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DJ MARKET TALK/SG: Techs Continue Rally; Nasdaq +1.5%
09:09 13 August 2003 [Dow Jones] Techs continue rally on Nasdaq's 1.5% rise; Chartered (C27) +1.9% at $1.04, STATS (S24) +1% at $2.12, Creative (C76) +0.7% at $15.00, Datacraft (D05) +1% at US$1.03, Venture (V03) +0.6% at $18.00. Creative....  ....kudos to believers. |
| (Post 1124 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:39:31 |
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Volume at 1.37 billion and value at $908 million......good chance for STI =1700.
HOLD UR HORSES |
| (Post 1125 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:41:33 |
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Go for tech laggards and tech pennies  |
| (Post 1126 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:42:27 |
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Zombie... |
| (Post 1127 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:43:00 |
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Moneytree  |
| (Post 1128 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:44:23 |
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Value now $923.5 million......see if reach a billion. 1700 here we come. |
| (Post 1129 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:46:47 |
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STI Cheong ahhhh!!!!  |
| (Post 1130 of 15224) 08/13/2003.16:55:42 |
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For the first time, after 3 years there is light at the end of the tunnel....vis a vis COMPETITIVENESS.
Tinker with wages (plus CPF), affecting land cost, weaker S$. STI will cheongggg
Value as at now $963 million. |
| (Post 1131 of 15224) 08/13/2003.17:00:13 |
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Look out for .....
THE MONEY TREE show ...coming on Channel u and i, soon. Presenter - Michelle Quah. |
| (Post 1132 of 15224) 08/13/2003.17:26:35 |
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Zombie collected lots and lots of pennies ah! Now jumping like mad. Congrats! |
| (Post 1133 of 15224) 08/14/2003.09:24:14 |
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Morgan Stanley, in today's BT, calls for increased weightage to S'pore Banks to tune of 13%. STI may just acheive 1700 on this call alone. |
| (Post 1134 of 15224) 08/14/2003.09:34:28 |
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Retail in US up for 3 months....and with X'mas coming...
a repost .... Moneytree 14 Aug 2003 09:31am [ Premium User ] Posting #5968 Viewing #5958 of 5958 Stock Price : 15.400 [ Bookmark ] [ Reply ] [ Edit ] If retail giant, Walmart's performance is anything to go by.......consumerism in US on the rise. Walmart sales up 11% and profit up 21%. Walmart turnover is well over 250 billion. Retail up for 3 months in US and went un-noticed.......Creative types will be a beneficiary. |
| (Post 1135 of 15224) 08/14/2003.09:36:43 |
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STI climbing back to 1600!
Watch out for it!  |
| (Post 1136 of 15224) 08/14/2003.10:14:05 |
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A repost from the Lounge...
Girlgirl 14 Aug 2003 10:10am [ Jade User ] Posting #22207 Viewing #22206 of 22206 [ Bookmark ] [ Reply ] ang moh ge ge very supportive Morgan Stanley Advises Putting More Money in Singapore Shares Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley is recommending that investors put twice as much money in Singapore stocks than what is recommended by the Morgan Stanley Capital International Inc.'s All Country Asia-Pacific Free ex-Japan benchmark. The world's second-biggest securities firm said in a report published Monday that investors should increase their holdings in DBS Group Holdings Ltd. and United Overseas Bank Ltd., the island's two largest lenders, because they're expected to benefit from rising consumer spending as companies boost hiring. compared with the 6.1 percent recommended by the MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index. Money managers, who use MSCI to track their performances, normally allocate their funds according to weightings on those indexes. ``The prospect of renewed job growth combined with a Singapore consumer who has more buying power than at any time since the 1997 Asian crisis will serve as the catalyst for meaningful out-performance in this largely neglected market,'' the report said. Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Index had risen 8 percent in the first half of the year, slower than benchmarks in Thailand or Indonesia, which had gained 30 percent and 19 percent, respectively, in the period. A declining rate of bankruptcy filings since the beginning of the year, lower debt owed on credit cards and rising savings provide the basis for increased spending. With companies in Singapore expected to start hiring, that will spur consumption growth, the report added. MSCI compiles indexes and is majority-owned by securities firm Morgan Stanley. |
| (Post 1137 of 15224) 08/14/2003.11:54:38 |
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today's market is so slow. guess everyone is having a rest liao. |
| (Post 1138 of 15224) 08/14/2003.12:00:47 |
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This few days STI volume is higher than the ave 750mil ... I'm just thinking would the STI do something like it did in June when it was trying to surge above 1480 forcefully to break 1520. First initial break then retreat back to 1450, the 2nd time it broke forcefully above and stay above till Jakarta bombing's knee jerk reaction. |
| (Post 1139 of 15224) 08/14/2003.12:01:21 |
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A good rest is needed given that the market has jumped 100 points within a week. But the rest will be peaceful and non-nightmarish. |
| (Post 1140 of 15224) 08/14/2003.12:31:37 |
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half time!!! |
| (Post 1141 of 15224) 08/14/2003.12:33:21 |
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1600 broken liow. |
| (Post 1142 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:12:21 |
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Now everybody is referring to Barton's (Bartons Asia Chart) STI=1700 call, completing the double bottom formation.
DJ MARKET TALK/SG: STI May Break Above Key 1600 Resistance 14/08/2003 13:06 [Dow Jones] TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: STI may break above key resistance around 1600 psychological resistance as daily oscillators are positive with MACD making positive crossover and bullish engulfing harami on weekly Japanese candlestick charts. Next resistance at 1603, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March 2002 high 1848.99 vs March 2003 low 1205.32. Further resistance at 1650 psychological level and 1700 (upper channel resistance from April on weekly charts). Support at 1554.09 and 1521.19 (30-day and 50-day moving averages), Dow Jones analyst Abdul Hadhi says. STI +0.51% at 1599.63. (AXH) |
| (Post 1143 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:20:15 |
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1600 broken convincingly. My patience with STI has paid off. I am sure 1700 is within reach by year end. |
| (Post 1144 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:28:24 |
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Every damned counter good or bad is moving up. Good times are back no doubt. Doubters will be left high and dry. Those who sold too early will only cry. |
| (Post 1145 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:29:31 |
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Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Optical storage device maker Swing Media (5BQ) may ride on Hongkong SAR and China's closer economic partnership agreement, says Kelive. "Swing Media is a potential beneficiary as tariffs for unrecorded media are reduced to zero in 2004." Expects operating margins to rise in FY04 as momentum for optical storage products continues to grow. Keeps Buy call as valuations undemanding at FY04 PER of 6x, with target price at 50 cents; shares +12% at 38.5 cents.(GEN)
Hit jackpot! |
| (Post 1146 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:34:12 |
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Mephisto...not every damned counter yet lah...Botak Wee linked ones not yet so much opportunity costs. |
| (Post 1147 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:36:39 |
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Moneytree, Botak Wee ones already ran first. Now resting and waiting for Botak Wee to first the shots. |
| (Post 1148 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:39:15 |
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With STI breaking 1600pts, the market is now in a confirmed bullish mode.
While there may be intermittent minor pullbacks, the general direction of the market is UP ahhh!!! |
| (Post 1149 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:45:37 |
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...JUZ HOLD UR HORSES
STI....cheoooooooonnnngggggggg ah. Forummers, excuse my euphoria. DJ MARKET TALK/SG: STI +1.1%; Crosses 1605 Cap 14 August 2003, 14:38 [Dow Jones] STI +1.1% at 1608.29, crosses recent high 1605, on hectic buying in blue chips and techs; DBS (D05) +4.2% at $12.30, Creative (C76) +10% at $9.60. "There seems to be no stopping the buyers. There is a dramatic change in the sentiment," says local trader, following rebound in local banks' home loan rates and rising hopes of economic recovery. But crucial for STI to close above 1600 for uptrend to sustain, he adds. Volume heavy at 1.06 billion shares; 200 gainers, 83 losers and 379 flat/untraded. (ANU) |
| (Post 1150 of 15224) 08/14/2003.14:53:11 |
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Bullish Signal ............ |
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